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水电开发背景下雅鲁藏布江流域植被扰动研究

Study on vegetation disturbance in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin under the background of hydropower development

  • 摘要: 本文利用时序Landsat影像计算植被归一化指数(NDVI),结合线性趋势分析、LandTrendr变化检测、偏相关性分析等方法,分析了雅鲁藏布江流域植被时空变化特征及其影响因素,重点关注已有水电站的区域。结果显示:(1)雅鲁藏布江流域植被整体呈稳定生长趋势,且20年间仅有5078.70 km2的植被发生突变,其中,正向和负向突变面积分别为3 205.80 和1 872.90 km2;(2)水电站建设及蓄水期间,流域内植被会发生显著退化,范围集中于水电站上游缓冲区1 km以内,但水电站运营期间植被生长快速,主要分布在水电站河流缓冲区2 km以外;(3)雅鲁藏布江流域植被对海拔的依赖性较强,受气候的影响大于人类活动,其中,温度对植被的影响最为显著。

     

    Abstract: This study analyzed spatiotemporal vegetation dynamics and their driving forces in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin by calculating the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from time-series Landsat images. The analysis integrated linear trend modeling, LandTrendr-based change detection, and partial correlation analysis, with a particular focus on regions influenced by existing hydropower infrastructure. Results showed that: (1) The overall vegetation of the Yarlung Tsangpo River basin shows a stable growth trend, with only 5 078.70 km2 of vegetation undergoing significant changes over the past 20 years, of which the areas of positive and negative changes were 3 205.80 km2 and 1 872.90 km2 respectively; (2) Vegetation degradation was most pronounced within 1 km upstream of hydropower stations during dam construction and reservoir impoundment phases. In contrast, accelerated vegetation growth was observed during operational periods, primarily beyond 2 km from the hydropower-associated river buffer zone; (3) Vegetation patterns were strongly dependent on elevation, with climatic variables exerting greater influence than anthropogenic factors. Temperature was identified as the most significant climatic driver of vegetation variability in the region.

     

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